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Indonesian presidential candidates register for next year's elections_我的网站

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A |     

【文/观察者网 张菁娟】“我们达成了谈判协议。”在选举胜利近六个月后,荷兰极右翼民粹主义者、素有“荷兰特朗普”之称的维尔德斯(Geert Wilders)15日宣布,他领导的自由党(PVV)已与与潜在的盟友达成协议,组建荷兰新一届联合政府。
综合《纽约时报》、路透社等媒体报道,包括自由党、自由民主人民党(VVD)、新社会契约党(NSC)和农民党(BBB)在内的4党,经过长达16个小时的谈判,终于在规定期限内达成共识。
在去年11月的荷兰议会选举中,维尔德斯领导的自由党在众议院150个席位中获得37席,虽没有获得多数席位,但被外界认为“令人震惊地”赢得了大选的胜利。此后,维尔德斯一直在与潜在盟友进行试探性的联盟谈判。

B | 目前,联合政府在下议院150个席位中共获得了88个席位的多数。

C |

维尔德斯曾在胜选后表态自己希望成为下一任荷兰首相,但今年3月,由于没有获得联合政府全部政党的支持,维尔德斯放弃成为下一任荷兰首相。    JAKARTA, Indonesia -- Thousands of noisy, flag-waving political supporters created a celebratory atmosphere outside Indonesia’s election commission Thursday as candidates started registering for next year’s elections in the world’s third-largest democracy.More than 2,400 police were deployed around the General Election Commission compound in Jakarta and roads were blocked around the building, where traffic was snarled as the presidential and vice presidential candidates arrived.Anies Baswedan, an opposition candidate and former Jakarta governor, was the first to register for the presidential race, alongside his running mate, Muhaimin Iskandar, chairman of the National Awakening Party or PKB.Ganjar Pranowo, the governing party’s candidate for president and former Central Java governor, registered with his running mate, Muhammad Mahfud, the current top security minister. The election to succeed President Joko Widodo, who is serving his second and final term, is shaping up as a three-way race.Defense Minister Prabowo Subianto, who lost to Widodo in the last two presidential elections, is expected to run but it's not clear when he will register as he hasn't announced his running mate.The deadline for candidates to register for the legislative and presidential elections on Feb. 14, 2024, is next Wednesday.Opinion polls forecast a close race between Subianto and Pranowo, while Baswedan is consistently in third place.Baswedan was education and culture minister before Widodo removed him from the Cabinet in 2016.He was known as a progressive Muslim intellectual but religious identity politics in the 2017 election for Jakarta governor were seen as distancing him from moderate Muslims. His choice of Iskandar is viewed as an attempt to rebuild that support.Iskandar's PKB party has strong ties with Indonesia’s largest Islamic organization, Nahdlatul Ulama, which boasts over 45 million members.“We bring the idea of change to be felt by families in Indonesia. We want basic needs to be affordable. Farmers will have a more prosperous life, fishermen will have a more prosperous life. We want there to be equality of opportunity," Baswedan said at a news conference at the General Election Commission on Thursday. "The basic idea is that change brings equality and justice.”Some of Baswedan's supporters who gathered at the election commission building were from groups that held mass protests in 2016 against Jakarta’s ethnic Chinese Christian governor, Basuki Tjahaja Purnama, who was imprisoned on blasphemy charges after quoting the Quran in a speech. Baswedan galvanized street protests by hundreds of thousands and capitalized on the controversy in his successful run for governor.Baswedan is not expected to use religious identity politics in next year's election, said Arya Fernandes, head of the Department of Politics and Social Change at the Center for Strategic and International Studies Indonesia.“At the national level the people’s rejection of the use of identity or the use of religious-based narratives in elections and politics is actually high. So if there is any thought for any candidate to do that, I think it will backfire,” Fernandes said Thursday.Pranowo was a national legislator for the governing Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle, or PDIP, for 10 years before being elected in 2013 for the first of his two terms as Central Java governor.Widodo praised Pranowo as a leader who is close to the people and “always goes down to the grassroots and is very ideological.” “We want to develop Indonesia faster and continue the good things that have been done by the current government, to fix what is not good enough and to leave the bad ones,” Pranowo said in a news conference.Pranowo has faced criticism and a backlash from soccer fans after FIFA earlier this year stripped Indonesia of its right to host the Under-20 World Cup.He was among those who had voiced opposition to Israel’s participation in the tournament. Indonesia is the world's most populous Muslim-majority nation and does not have diplomatic relations with Israel. Subianto has focused his ultra-nationalistic campaign on what he sees as Indonesia’s weakness in the world relative to its vast land area rich in natural resources and a population of more than 270 million.A longtime commander in Indonesia’s Kopassus special forces, Subianto was discharged from the military in 1998 after Kopassus soldiers tortured activists who opposed dictator Suharto, his father-in-law. He went into self-exile in Jordan before returning and founding the Gerindra Party in early 2008.In the past he worked closely with hard-line Islamists to undermine his opponents, but lost to Widodo in the 2014 and 2019 elections, which were marred by dirty campaigning and wild internet rumors. Subianto refused to accept both election results but decided to join the Cabinet after Widodo offered him the defense minister position in a bid for unity.___Follow AP's Asia-Pacific coverage at https://apnews.com/hub/asia-pacific。
据报道,对于新首相人选,四党还在进行谈判,尚未达成一致意见。而四党领导人未来则将继续在众议院担任议员,不会出任新政府首相或部长。

D |

荷兰属于多党制,通常由多个政党组成执政联盟,联盟会在详细的政府协议中确定其执政计划。

E | 但这次各政党表示,他们将致力于达成广泛的协议,并建立一个与议会关系较为松散的技术官僚政府。

报道指出,这将涉及一个由资深政治家和外部专家组成的内阁,他们必须为自己的政策提案争取多数票。这些立场需要得到所有党派的同意,而这可能会很困难。
尽管如此,荷兰莱顿大学研究荷兰政治的助理教授奥特耶斯(Simon Otjes)告诉《纽约时报》,维尔德斯领导的自由党仍将拥有很大的影响力。
当地时间2023年6月18日,荷兰阿姆斯特丹,抗议者参加了一场支持移民的示威活动。
目前,联合政府协议的具体细节尚未公布,报道认为,它很可能包括一项严格的移民庇护政策,这也是维尔德斯竞选时的主要议题。维尔德斯此前多次表示,若执政,他将把主要精力集中于遏制移民,采取包括遏制海外留学生数量、减少外籍人士的税收减免等措施。
根据荷兰媒体上周拍摄并公布的协议草稿页面显示,四党旨在制定“有史以来最严格的接纳寻求庇护者的规则”。
四党计划于15日敲定最终协议,并向议会报告。德新社报道称,敲定后,荷兰还需大约6周才能真正组建政府。

F |

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Published on:02:10:31


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